Climate change impact in agriculture: A study of Baglung Municipality-12 Baglung, Nepal

Abstract

Climate change is great concern of today as it affects not only living being but also effect the whole eco-system of the world. Even in Nepal climate change can affect agricultural production directly or indirectly. The direct impact of climate change is the change in rainfall, drought, change in temperature and change in seasonal cycle, that can reduce agricultural production and the indirect impacts are changes in market price and supply. The study entitled “Climate Change Impact on Agriculture a Study Of Baglung Municipality -12 Baglung, Nepal” thus tried to analyze the impact of climate change in agriculture. Objectives of this study were to analyze the agricultural pattern, to assess the pattern and trend of rainfall and temperature based on meteorological data and to assess the impact of climate change on agriculture. This study applied both quantitative qualitative research approach and survey method and KII. Required primary data were collected from 170 respondents randomly and secondary data were fetched from Meteorology Depart. In doing so, household survey technique with tools (Cronbach’s Alpha value 0.83) has been used. The validity is 0.74 which means no issue of content validity. This study used SPSS version 20 for organizing, summarizing, describing, and generalizing the data. In this study, it was found that about 54.13% of the total people are depending on agriculture for their livelihood. Climatic parameters (rainfall and temperature) are found to be main factors in the production of agriculture. I studied the trends of rainfall and temperature as well as agriculture production of last 9 years (2012/13- 2020/21) in the Baglung district. From this study, trend of rainfall was found to be decreasing and that of temperature was found to be increasing. These climatic factors have both positive and negative impact on the agricultural production depending on the time/ season and type of crops. Similarly, the modern technology applied to the field and seed have positive impact in the production of agriculture. Also, the fertility of soil, provision of irrigation, use of fertilizers, use of insecticides and pesticides etc. are found to be the factors affecting the agricultural production.