Developing Mode Choice Model for The Effect of Road Transport Service on Air Travel Demand from Jumla to Nepalgunj

Abstract

Air transport was the only one mode of transportation to reach Nepalgunj from Jumla before the construction of highway. Now adays people can choose either air transport or road transport according to their interest. Introducing a road transport service shall change the traffic of air transportation. No research is conducted regarding the effect of air trips due to operation of highway in study area. The objective of the study was to assess Developing mode choice model for the effect of road transport service on air travel demand from Jumla to Nepalgunj. The area for this study is Jumla. Highway, linking Surkhet, Dailekh, Kalikot and Jumla districts.The study follows the analytical and descriptive approach in which the view of concerned key personal and primary and secondary data analysis has been incorporated.The logit model was used in trip as dependent and independent variable. Large number of trip maker is students who have low income but usually go Nepalgunj than other professions. Privacy is minor factors comparing cost, time, health, comfort and safety while choosing transport modes. Increasing ages and income of the passengers is contributing towards the increasing number of the plane users. The chances of plane users are the highest by business. Male are the active trip maker but female were mostly used plane. The model was able to explan in the variation of 68.4% to 93.1% in the independent variable. The prepared model was made with 95% confidence interval for selected model. In conclusion study has concluded that there is no effect of road transport service on air travel demand from Jumla to Nepalgunj as the growth rate of air traffic is nearly equal before and after operation of road.