Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture
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Central Department of Rural Development Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu
Abstract
The climate change generally refer change in rainfall and temperature pattern which affects
several sectors including agriculture and water resources. This study attempts to find the impact
of climate change on agricultural sector of Chanlakhel VDC, Kathmandu, Nepal. The study
includes the analysis of pattern and trend of rainfall and temperature based on hydrological and
meteorological data (1985 to 2014) of study area, pests and disease problem on study area
because of cc, and impact of cc on agriculture sector (both crop farming and livestock
husbandry) of study area.
Precipitation and temperature are the main parameters of climate change. The changing pattern
of rainfall and temperature can impact on agricultural sector of any place either positively or
negatively. From 30 years analysis of rainfall, there observed fluctuate and slight change in
rainfall pattern per year. The heaviest annual mean rainfall was 137.758mm recorded in year
2011. The minimum annual mean rainfall was 68.267mm recorded in year 1992. That means
69.491mm rainfall difference in annual rainfall of 2011 and 1992. Mean rainfall of monsoon is
not same there is also difference in rainfall. Maximum mean rainfall of monsoon was
371.967mm recorded in year 2011 and minimum mean rainfall of monsoon was 171mm
recorded in year 2005. Similarly maximum mean winter rainfall was80.2mm recorded in year
2007 and minimum mean winter rainfall was 0.5mm in the year 1985 and no winter rainfall in
the year 1999, 2006, 2008 and 2009. From data analysis of temperature, the warmest year was
1999 where maximum mean temperature was 25.808 degree celsiuswas recorded on that year
and minimum annual mean temperature was 18.95 degree celsius recorded on the year 1997.
And that analysis show temperature is slightly increasing.
Hence agricultural production of the study area decreasing because of climate change. Increasing
temperature, changing pattern of rainfall are the indicator of climate change, which affect
agricultural sector negatively. Hence climate change introduced several consequences which
result have been facing by human beings. Climate change also affect livestock husbandry
negatively. So pattern of livestock has been also changed. There is decreasing in number of
livestock due to reduced fodder resources and pasture area.
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